Will Erdoğan respect the Istanbul rerun result?
With just days to go before Istanbul’s rerun mayoral election on June 23, this is a good time to consider the vote’s likely impact on Turkey’s foreign relations.
Four outcomes are most likely: 1) Ekrem İmamoğlu, candidate of the main opposition Republican People’s Party (CHP), wins indisputably; 2) Binali Yıldırım, the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) candidate and former prime minister, wins indisputably; 3) İmamoğlu wins, but Erdoğan and the AKP challenge the results; 4) Yıldırım gains a disputed victory and faces allegations of vote rigging.
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